Dana Mendelson, Asaf Nachmias, Samuel S. Watson
We show that crossing probabilities in 2D critical site percolation on the triangular lattice in a piecewise analytic Jordan domain converge with power law rate in the mesh size to their limit given by the Cardy-Smirnov formula. We use this result to obtain new upper and lower bounds of exp(O(sqrt(log log R))) R^(-1/3) for the probability that the cluster at the origin in the half-plane has diameter R, improving the previously known estimate of R^(-1/3+o(1)).
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http://arxiv.org/abs/1210.4201
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